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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Fri 8 May 2026

19:45

Venue

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

67%

Lens

1.49

22%

Draw

4.51

11%

Nantes

9.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.05

Lens xG

Total xG

2.77

0.72

Nantes xG

67%
22%
LensDrawNantes

1.49

67%

Home win

4.51

22%

Draw

9.23

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

48%

Lens

2.06

13%

Nantes

7.76

Win to Nil

32%

Lens

3.08

1%

Nantes

71.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 12.8 9.3 3.4 0.8 0.1
2 13.1 9.5 3.4 0.8 0.2
3 8.9 6.5 2.4 0.6 0.1
4 4.6 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.1
5 1.9 1.4 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.049
λ Away (xG) 0.725
Total xG 2.774
League avg home goals 1.527
League avg away goals 1.299
Lens attack strength 1.336
Lens defence strength 0.866
Nantes attack strength 0.645
Nantes defence strength 1.004
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 66