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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

16:00

Venue

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

57%

Lens

1.75

27%

Draw

3.76

16%

Monaco

6.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.1%

Home win

0 – 0

12.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Lens xG

Total xG

2.11

0.64

Monaco xG

57%
27%
16%
LensDrawMonaco

1.75

57%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

6.15

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.75

64%

BTTS No

1.57

Clean Sheet

53%

Lens

1.90

23%

Monaco

4.33

Win to Nil

30%

Lens

3.32

4%

Monaco

26.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.1 7.8 2.5 0.5 0.1
1 17.8 11.4 3.7 0.8 0.1
2 13.1 8.4 2.7 0.6 0.1
3 6.4 4.1 1.3 0.3
4 2.3 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.466
λ Away (xG) 0.642
Total xG 2.108
League avg home goals 1.502
League avg away goals 1.185
Lens attack strength 1.091
Lens defence strength 0.677
Monaco attack strength 0.800
Monaco defence strength 0.895
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56