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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monaco Win

24%

Lens

4.12

26%

Draw

3.88

50%

Monaco

2.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.4%

Away win

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.04

Lens xG

Total xG

2.64

1.60

Monaco xG

24%
26%
50%
LensDrawMonaco

4.12

24%

Home win

3.88

26%

Draw

2.00

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

20%

Lens

4.96

35%

Monaco

2.83

Win to Nil

5%

Lens

20.42

18%

Monaco

5.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 11.4 9.1 4.9 1.9 0.6
1 7.4 11.9 9.5 5.1 2.0 0.6
2 3.9 6.2 5.0 2.6 1.1 0.3
3 1.3 2.1 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1
4 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.042
λ Away (xG) 1.601
Total xG 2.643
League avg home goals 1.448
League avg away goals 1.390
Lens attack strength 0.716
Lens defence strength 1.175
Monaco attack strength 0.981
Monaco defence strength 1.005
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67