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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 8 Mar 2026

14:00

Venue

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

73%

Lens

1.37

17%

Draw

6.04

10%

Metz

9.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

3 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.38

Lens xG

Total xG

3.16

0.78

Metz xG

73%
17%
LensDrawMetz

1.37

73%

Home win

6.04

17%

Draw

9.68

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

46%

Lens

2.17

9%

Metz

10.84

Win to Nil

34%

Lens

2.97

1%

Metz

104.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 10.1 7.9 3.0 0.8 0.2
2 12.1 9.4 3.6 0.9 0.2
3 9.6 7.4 2.9 0.7 0.1
4 5.7 4.4 1.7 0.4 0.1
5 2.7 2.1 0.8 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.383
λ Away (xG) 0.776
Total xG 3.159
League avg home goals 1.449
League avg away goals 1.181
Lens attack strength 1.142
Lens defence strength 0.858
Metz attack strength 0.765
Metz defence strength 1.440
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 24