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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sun 2 Nov 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

77%

Lens

1.29

16%

Draw

6.42

7%

Lorient

14.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

15.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

3 – 0

11.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.31

Lens xG

Total xG

2.84

0.53

Lorient xG

77%
16%
LensDrawLorient

1.29

77%

Home win

6.42

16%

Draw

14.41

7%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.68

63%

BTTS No

1.59

Clean Sheet

59%

Lens

1.71

10%

Lorient

10.04

Win to Nil

45%

Lens

2.20

1%

Lorient

144.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 3.1 0.8 0.1
1 13.5 7.2 1.9 0.3
2 15.5 8.3 2.2 0.4 0.1
3 11.9 6.4 1.7 0.3
4 6.9 3.7 1.0 0.2
5 3.2 1.7 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.307
λ Away (xG) 0.534
Total xG 2.841
League avg home goals 1.727
League avg away goals 1.244
Lens attack strength 1.124
Lens defence strength 0.840
Lorient attack strength 0.511
Lorient defence strength 1.189
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 10