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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

20:05

Venue

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lille Win

29%

Lens

3.39

22%

Draw

4.60

49%

Lille

2.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

2 – 1

6.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Lens xG

Total xG

3.49

1.98

Lille xG

29%
22%
49%
LensDrawLille

3.39

29%

Home win

4.60

22%

Draw

2.05

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.49

33%

BTTS No

3.04

Clean Sheet

14%

Lens

7.25

22%

Lille

4.52

Win to Nil

4%

Lens

24.58

11%

Lille

9.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 6.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.8
1 4.6 9.1 9.0 6.0 3.0 1.2
2 3.5 6.9 6.8 4.5 2.2 0.9
3 1.7 3.5 3.4 2.3 1.1 0.4
4 0.7 1.3 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.508
λ Away (xG) 1.981
Total xG 3.489
League avg home goals 1.696
League avg away goals 1.231
Lens attack strength 0.918
Lens defence strength 1.001
Lille attack strength 1.608
Lille defence strength 0.969
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38