Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 26 Jan 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

35%

Lens

2.85

35%

Draw

2.82

29%

Angers

3.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

0 – 1

11.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Lens xG

Total xG

2.14

1.02

Angers xG

35%
35%
29%
LensDrawAngers

2.85

35%

Home win

2.82

35%

Draw

3.40

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

36%

Lens

2.76

32%

Angers

3.09

Win to Nil

13%

Lens

7.86

10%

Angers

10.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.7 11.9 6.0 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 13.2 13.4 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 7.5 7.6 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 2.8 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.128
λ Away (xG) 1.016
Total xG 2.144
League avg home goals 1.497
League avg away goals 1.288
Lens attack strength 0.853
Lens defence strength 0.983
Angers attack strength 0.803
Angers defence strength 0.884
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 18