Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 9 Mar 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Océane

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Le Havre Win

40%

Le Havre

2.48

25%

Draw

4.06

35%

Saint Etienne

2.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

8.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Le Havre xG

Total xG

3.22

1.55

Saint Etienne xG

40%
25%
35%
Le HavreDrawSaint Etienne

2.48

40%

Home win

4.06

25%

Draw

2.85

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.55

35%

BTTS No

2.83

Clean Sheet

21%

Le Havre

4.70

19%

Saint Etienne

5.32

Win to Nil

9%

Le Havre

11.66

7%

Saint Etienne

15.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 6.2 4.8 2.5 1.0 0.3
1 6.7 10.3 8.0 4.1 1.6 0.5
2 5.6 8.6 6.7 3.5 1.3 0.4
3 3.1 4.8 3.7 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.3 2.0 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.672
λ Away (xG) 1.548
Total xG 3.220
League avg home goals 1.541
League avg away goals 1.397
Le Havre attack strength 0.664
Le Havre defence strength 1.460
Saint Etienne attack strength 0.759
Saint Etienne defence strength 1.635
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 24