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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Auxerre Win

44%

Auxerre

2.29

25%

Draw

4.05

32%

Nantes

3.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Auxerre xG

Total xG

2.86

1.30

Nantes xG

44%
25%
32%
AuxerreDrawNantes

2.29

44%

Home win

4.05

25%

Draw

3.17

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

27%

Auxerre

3.65

21%

Nantes

4.80

Win to Nil

12%

Auxerre

8.36

7%

Nantes

15.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 7.4 4.8 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 8.9 11.6 7.5 3.2 1.1 0.3
2 7.0 9.1 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.7 4.7 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.4 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.568
λ Away (xG) 1.296
Total xG 2.864
League avg home goals 1.448
League avg away goals 1.412
Auxerre attack strength 0.833
Auxerre defence strength 0.999
Nantes attack strength 0.919
Nantes defence strength 1.300
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 66