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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

20:05

Venue

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Auxerre Win

45%

Auxerre

2.21

27%

Draw

3.67

27%

Monaco

3.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

9.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Auxerre xG

Total xG

2.37

1.00

Monaco xG

45%
27%
27%
AuxerreDrawMonaco

2.21

45%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

3.65

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

37%

Auxerre

2.72

25%

Monaco

3.94

Win to Nil

17%

Auxerre

6.01

7%

Monaco

14.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 9.3 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 12.8 12.8 6.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.8 8.8 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.0 4.0 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.372
λ Away (xG) 1.002
Total xG 2.374
League avg home goals 1.661
League avg away goals 1.251
Auxerre attack strength 0.862
Auxerre defence strength 0.907
Monaco attack strength 0.883
Monaco defence strength 0.957
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 37