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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 14 Dec 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Auxerre Win

36%

Auxerre

2.81

29%

Draw

3.43

35%

Lille

2.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

0 – 1

12.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.10

Auxerre xG

Total xG

2.19

1.09

Lille xG

36%
29%
35%
AuxerreDrawLille

2.81

36%

Home win

3.43

29%

Draw

2.84

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.25

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

34%

Auxerre

2.98

33%

Lille

3.01

Win to Nil

12%

Auxerre

8.36

12%

Lille

8.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.2 12.2 6.7 2.4 0.7 0.1
1 12.3 13.4 7.3 2.7 0.7 0.2
2 6.8 7.4 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.5 2.7 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.101
λ Away (xG) 1.092
Total xG 2.193
League avg home goals 1.650
League avg away goals 1.147
Auxerre attack strength 0.713
Auxerre defence strength 0.883
Lille attack strength 1.078
Lille defence strength 0.936
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49