Auxerre vs Lens – Predictions
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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Auxerre Win
35%
2.85
33%
3.04
32%
3.12
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.5%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
13.4%
Home win
0 – 1
12.7%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.06
Auxerre xG
Total xG
2.07
1.01
Lens xG
AuxerreDrawLens
2.85
35%
Home win
3.04
33%
Draw
3.12
32%
Away win
Goals Markets
61%
Over 1.5
1.64
39%
Under 1.5
2.56
34%
Over 2.5
2.94
66%
Under 2.5
1.52
16%
Over 3.5
6.25
84%
Under 3.5
1.19
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.33
57%
BTTS No
1.75
Clean Sheet
37%
2.74
34%
2.90
Win to Nil
13%
7.81
11%
9.05
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.6 | 12.7 | 6.4 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 13.4 | 13.5 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 7.1 | 7.2 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.065
λ Away (xG)
1.007
Total xG
2.072
League avg home goals
1.482
League avg away goals
1.278
Auxerre attack strength
1.018
Auxerre defence strength
0.771
Lens attack strength
1.023
Lens defence strength
0.706
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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