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First Half Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest first-half goal probability β€” Saturday 2 January 2027

First half goals (over 0.5) lands when at least one goal goes in before the break. Our prediction model scales each fixture's full-match expected goals by the share of goals its league actually scores in the first half, measured from recent results. Only fixtures with a 75%+ chance of a first-half goal are shown.

Nine fixtures clear the bar on Saturday 2 January 2027. Reims vs Laval sits top on 83% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies four of the top 9, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France 83%
Reims
– : – 19:00
Laval
Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 72%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France 81%
Estac Troyes
– : – 16:00
Rennes
Win 20%
Draw 19%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France 81%
Dijon
– : – 19:00
Nantes
Win 46%
Draw 22%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 71%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France 79%
Rodez
– : – 19:00
RED Star FC 93
Win 23%
Draw 21%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 67%
#5 Premier League Β· England 79%
Arsenal
– : – 15:00
Ipswich
Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 61%
#6 League One Β· England 78%
Plymouth
– : – 15:00
Luton
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 69%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France 77%
Metz
– : – 19:00
Nancy
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 66%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France 77%
Lorient
– : – 16:00
Auxerre
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 64%
#9 Ligue 1 Β· France 76%
Stade Brestois 29
– : – 16:00
Marseille
Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 9 fixtures by first-half goal probability (a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

First Half Goals β€” common questions

What does the First Half Goals market mean?

First Half Goals settles on whether a match produces at least one goal before half-time. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate first half goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The first-half goal probability shown here is the probability of at least one goal before half-time — the full-match expected goals scaled by the share of goals each league actually produces in the first half, measured from its recent results. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for First Half Goals on Saturday 2 January 2027?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Reims vs Laval at 83% first-half goal probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these first half goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.