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First Half Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest first-half goal probability β€” Tuesday 24 November 2026

First half goals (over 0.5) lands when at least one goal goes in before the break. Our prediction model scales each fixture's full-match expected goals by the share of goals its league actually scores in the first half, measured from recent results. Only fixtures with a 75%+ chance of a first-half goal are shown.

The model shortlists five fixtures on Tuesday 24 November 2026. Cardiff vs Preston tops the list at 83% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies three of the top 5, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England 83%
Cardiff
– : – 19:45
Preston
Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 65%
#2 Championship Β· England 81%
Portsmouth
– : – 19:45
West Ham
Win 27%
Draw 21%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Championship Β· England 76%
Wolves
– : – 20:00
Derby
Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy 76%
Virtus Entella
– : – 14:00
Hellas Verona
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy 75%
Pisa
– : – 14:00
Modena
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 5 fixtures by first-half goal probability (a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

First Half Goals β€” common questions

What does the First Half Goals market mean?

First Half Goals settles on whether a match produces at least one goal before half-time. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate first half goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The first-half goal probability shown here is the probability of at least one goal before half-time — the full-match expected goals scaled by the share of goals each league actually produces in the first half, measured from its recent results. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for First Half Goals on Tuesday 24 November 2026?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Cardiff vs Preston at 83% first-half goal probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these first half goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.