Sign in Register
⏱️

First Half Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest first-half goal probability β€” Tuesday 8 September 2026

First half goals (over 0.5) lands when at least one goal goes in before the break. Our prediction model scales each fixture's full-match expected goals by the share of goals its league actually scores in the first half, measured from recent results. Only fixtures with a 75%+ chance of a first-half goal are shown.

The model shortlists seven fixtures on Tuesday 8 September 2026. Utrecht vs GO Ahead Eagles led the list at 85% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies three of the top 7, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the first half goals market — 71%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 85%
Utrecht
3 : 3 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 34%
Draw 20%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 78%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia 83%
Al-Ettifaq
0 : 0 FT
Al-Faisaly FC
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 75%
#3 Championship Β· England 80%
Wrexham
1 : 1 FT
Burnley
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#4 K League 1 Β· South-Korea 79%
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1 : 0 FT
FC Seoul
Win 16%
Draw 22%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 69%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 78%
NEC Nijmegen
2 : 2 FT
Excelsior
Win 20%
Draw 21%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Championship Β· England 76%
Southampton
3 : 1 FT
Swansea
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Championship Β· England 75%
Cardiff
1 : 1 FT
Stoke City
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 7 fixtures by first-half goal probability (a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

First Half Goals β€” common questions

What does the First Half Goals market mean?

First Half Goals settles on whether a match produces at least one goal before half-time. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate first half goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The first-half goal probability shown here is the probability of at least one goal before half-time — the full-match expected goals scaled by the share of goals each league actually produces in the first half, measured from its recent results. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for First Half Goals on Tuesday 8 September 2026?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Utrecht vs GO Ahead Eagles at 85% first-half goal probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these first half goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.