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First Half Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest first-half goal probability β€” Saturday 21 January 2023

First half goals (over 0.5) lands when at least one goal goes in before the break. Our prediction model scales each fixture's full-match expected goals by the share of goals its league actually scores in the first half, measured from recent results. Only fixtures with a 75%+ chance of a first-half goal are shown.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 21 January 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Zulte Waregem vs KVC Westerlo at 82% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies five of the top 9, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the first half goals market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 82%
Zulte Waregem
1 : 1 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 36%
Draw 21%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany 79%
Eintracht Frankfurt
3 : 0 FT
FC Schalke 04
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany 78%
VfL Wolfsburg
6 : 0 FT
SC Freiburg
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 78%
KV Mechelen
3 : 2 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany 77%
1. FC Köln
7 : 1 FT
Werder Bremen
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium 76%
Dender
3 : 4 FT
Excelsior Virton
Win 40%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany 76%
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Super League Β· Switzerland 75%
Grasshoppers
1 : 2 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 27%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany 75%
Union Berlin
3 : 1 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 9 fixtures by first-half goal probability (a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

First Half Goals β€” common questions

What does the First Half Goals market mean?

First Half Goals settles on whether a match produces at least one goal before half-time. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate first half goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The first-half goal probability shown here is the probability of at least one goal before half-time — the full-match expected goals scaled by the share of goals each league actually produces in the first half, measured from its recent results. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for First Half Goals on Saturday 21 January 2023?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Zulte Waregem vs KVC Westerlo at 82% first-half goal probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these first half goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.