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First Half Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest first-half goal probability β€” Saturday 29 October 2022

First half goals (over 0.5) lands when at least one goal goes in before the break. Our prediction model scales each fixture's full-match expected goals by the share of goals its league actually scores in the first half, measured from recent results. Only fixtures with a 75%+ chance of a first-half goal are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 29 October 2022. Dender vs Club Brugge II sits top on 84% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 77%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the first half goals market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium 84%
Dender
3 : 2 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 17%
Draw 19%
Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland 83%
Grasshoppers
1 : 3 FT
FC Luzern
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany 83%
RB Leipzig
2 : 0 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany 83%
VfL Wolfsburg
4 : 0 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 18%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 68%
#5 Premier League Β· England 82%
Liverpool
1 : 2 FT
Leeds
Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy 81%
Parma
1 : 0 FT
Como
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Austria 81%
Austria Klagenfurt
2 : 3 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 23%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy 81%
Benevento
0 : 0 FT
Pisa
Win 38%
Draw 22%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
#9 League One Β· England 80%
Sheffield Wednesday
4 : 2 FT
Burton Albion
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway 80%
Valerenga
3 : 3 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France 79%
Paris Saint Germain
4 : 3 FT
Estac Troyes
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#12 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic 79%
Hradec Králové
1 : 3 FT
Pardubice
Win 73%
Draw 19%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#13 Super League Β· China 79%
Wuhan Three Towns
0 : 1 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal 79%
Arouca
1 : 0 FT
Sporting CP
Win 30%
Draw 22%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Germany 78%
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 2 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#16 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 77%
GO Ahead Eagles
3 : 1 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#17 League One Β· England 77%
Peterborough
1 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Bundesliga Β· Germany 77%
Bayern München
6 : 2 FT
FSV Mainz 05
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#19 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 77%
Zulte Waregem
0 : 3 FT
Standard Liege
Win 34%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#20 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand 77%
BG Pathum United
2 : 2 FT
Lampang FC
Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 67%

Showing top 20 fixtures by first-half goal probability (a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

First Half Goals β€” common questions

What does the First Half Goals market mean?

First Half Goals settles on whether a match produces at least one goal before half-time. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate first half goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The first-half goal probability shown here is the probability of at least one goal before half-time — the full-match expected goals scaled by the share of goals each league actually produces in the first half, measured from its recent results. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for First Half Goals on Saturday 29 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Dender vs Club Brugge II at 84% first-half goal probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these first half goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.