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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Fri 2 May 2025

16:00

Venue

Lemonsoft Stadion

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Finland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ilves Win

29%

VPS

3.48

19%

Draw

5.14

52%

Ilves

1.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

7.9%

Away win

Most likely

2 – 2

7.0%

Draw

1 – 1

6.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.78

VPS xG

Total xG

4.17

2.40

Ilves xG

29%
19%
52%
VPSDrawIlves

3.48

29%

Home win

5.14

19%

Draw

1.93

52%

Away win

Goals Markets

92%

Over 1.5

1.09

8%

Under 1.5

12.50

79%

Over 2.5

1.27

21%

Under 2.5

4.76

60%

Over 3.5

1.67

40%

Under 3.5

2.50

41%

Over 4.5

2.44

59%

Under 4.5

1.69

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

76%

BTTS Yes

1.32

24%

BTTS No

4.09

Clean Sheet

9%

VPS

10.97

17%

Ilves

5.92

Win to Nil

3%

VPS

38.14

9%

Ilves

11.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.5 3.7 4.4 3.5 2.1 1.0
1 2.7 6.6 7.9 6.3 3.8 1.8
2 2.4 5.8 7.0 5.6 3.3 1.6
3 1.4 3.5 4.1 3.3 2.0 0.9
4 0.6 1.5 1.8 1.5 0.9 0.4
5 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.779
λ Away (xG) 2.395
Total xG 4.174
League avg home goals 1.581
League avg away goals 1.628
VPS attack strength 1.079
VPS defence strength 1.150
Ilves attack strength 1.280
Ilves defence strength 1.042
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 26 / 26