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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Relegation Round - 3

Kick-off

Fri 26 Sep 2025

16:00

Venue

Lemonsoft Stadion

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Finland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VPS Win

40%

VPS

2.51

27%

Draw

3.64

33%

Haka

3.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

VPS xG

Total xG

2.77

1.31

Haka xG

40%
27%
33%
VPSDrawHaka

2.51

40%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

3.06

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

27%

VPS

3.70

23%

Haka

4.33

Win to Nil

11%

VPS

9.30

8%

Haka

13.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 8.2 5.3 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 9.1 12.0 7.8 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.7 8.8 5.7 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.3 4.3 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.465
λ Away (xG) 1.309
Total xG 2.774
League avg home goals 1.673
League avg away goals 1.652
VPS attack strength 0.772
VPS defence strength 0.935
Haka attack strength 0.847
Haka defence strength 1.135
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44