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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Stalemate at VPS's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

The points were shared at Lemonsoft Stadion, Regular Season - 7, as VPS and FF Jaro drew 0-0 in the Veikkausliiga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting VPS 1.21 xG and FF Jaro 1.16 xG, a combined 2.37. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. VPS fell 1.2 short of their projected output. FF Jaro landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of VPS attack 0.98 / defence 0.95 against FF Jaro attack 0.75 / defence 0.78, drawn from 28/6 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it VPS 37% | Draw 28% | FF Jaro 35%, with VPS to win its most likely call at 37%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 42%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 69% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 25% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (VPS 50%, FF Jaro 0%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 25%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — VPS 1.50 PPG, FF Jaro 1.50 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. VPS managed 0 against a 1.50 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.50 average — tighter than their form line. FF Jaro managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights