Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 24 May 2025

17:00

Venue

Wiklöf Holding Arena

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Finland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

HJK Helsinki Win

30%

Mariehamn

3.35

23%

Draw

4.26

47%

HJK Helsinki

2.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

0 – 1

8.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Mariehamn xG

Total xG

3.08

1.74

HJK Helsinki xG

30%
23%
47%
MariehamnDrawHJK Helsinki

3.35

30%

Home win

4.26

23%

Draw

2.14

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.56

Clean Sheet

18%

Mariehamn

5.67

26%

HJK Helsinki

3.85

Win to Nil

5%

Mariehamn

19.00

12%

HJK Helsinki

8.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 8.0 6.9 4.0 1.7 0.6
1 6.2 10.7 9.3 5.4 2.3 0.8
2 4.2 7.2 6.3 3.6 1.6 0.5
3 1.9 3.2 2.8 1.6 0.7 0.2
4 0.6 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.347
λ Away (xG) 1.736
Total xG 3.083
League avg home goals 1.545
League avg away goals 1.449
Mariehamn attack strength 1.031
Mariehamn defence strength 1.144
HJK Helsinki attack strength 1.047
HJK Helsinki defence strength 0.845
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30