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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 9 Aug 2025

17:00

Venue

Wiklöf Holding Arena

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Finland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gnistan Win

33%

Mariehamn

3.00

26%

Draw

3.82

40%

Gnistan

2.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

0 – 1

8.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Mariehamn xG

Total xG

2.90

1.53

Gnistan xG

33%
26%
40%
MariehamnDrawGnistan

3.00

33%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

2.47

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.45

Clean Sheet

22%

Mariehamn

4.62

25%

Gnistan

3.94

Win to Nil

7%

Mariehamn

13.84

10%

Gnistan

9.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 8.4 6.4 3.3 1.3 0.4
1 7.5 11.5 8.8 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 5.2 7.9 6.0 3.1 1.2 0.4
3 2.4 3.6 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.2
4 0.8 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.371
λ Away (xG) 1.530
Total xG 2.901
League avg home goals 1.559
League avg away goals 1.553
Mariehamn attack strength 0.747
Mariehamn defence strength 1.144
Gnistan attack strength 0.861
Gnistan defence strength 1.177
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40