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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Championship Round - 5

Kick-off

Sun 19 Oct 2025

16:30

Venue

Vare Areena

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Finland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

HJK Helsinki Win

36%

KuPS

2.76

24%

Draw

4.20

40%

HJK Helsinki

2.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.3%

Away win

2 – 1

7.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

KuPS xG

Total xG

3.52

1.81

HJK Helsinki xG

36%
24%
40%
KuPSDrawHJK Helsinki

2.76

36%

Home win

4.20

24%

Draw

2.51

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.44

31%

BTTS No

3.27

Clean Sheet

16%

KuPS

6.09

18%

HJK Helsinki

5.57

Win to Nil

6%

KuPS

16.80

7%

HJK Helsinki

13.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9 5.3 4.8 2.9 1.3 0.5
1 5.1 9.1 8.3 5.0 2.2 0.8
2 4.3 7.9 7.1 4.3 1.9 0.7
3 2.5 4.5 4.1 2.4 1.1 0.4
4 1.1 1.9 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.718
λ Away (xG) 1.807
Total xG 3.525
League avg home goals 1.674
League avg away goals 1.653
KuPS attack strength 1.203
KuPS defence strength 0.858
HJK Helsinki attack strength 1.274
HJK Helsinki defence strength 0.853
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44