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Veikkausliiga · Relegation Round - 2

Kick-off

Fri 19 Sep 2025

17:00

Venue

Arto Tolsa Areena

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Finland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FF Jaro Win

25%

Kooteepee

4.05

26%

Draw

3.90

50%

FF Jaro

2.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.17

Kooteepee xG

Total xG

2.91

1.74

FF Jaro xG

25%
26%
50%
KooteepeeDrawFF Jaro

4.05

25%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

2.02

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.37

Clean Sheet

18%

Kooteepee

5.67

31%

FF Jaro

3.23

Win to Nil

4%

Kooteepee

22.96

15%

FF Jaro

6.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 9.5 8.2 4.8 2.1 0.7
1 6.4 11.1 9.6 5.6 2.4 0.8
2 3.7 6.5 5.6 3.3 1.4 0.5
3 1.5 2.5 2.2 1.3 0.6 0.2
4 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.171
λ Away (xG) 1.736
Total xG 2.907
League avg home goals 1.673
League avg away goals 1.652
Kooteepee attack strength 0.729
Kooteepee defence strength 1.240
FF Jaro attack strength 0.847
FF Jaro defence strength 0.961
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 22