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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Inter Turku run riot with a 5-0 hammering of Kooteepee.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Inter Turku beat Kooteepee 5-0 at Veritas Stadion, Regular Season - 11, in the Veikkausliiga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Inter Turku 2.48 xG and Kooteepee 0.97 xG, a combined 3.45. The scoreboard read 5-0 for 5 actual goals. Inter Turku beat their projection by 2.5 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Kooteepee landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Inter Turku attack 1.19 / defence 0.77 against Kooteepee attack 0.84 / defence 1.52, drawn from 32/10 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Inter Turku 70% | Draw 17% | Kooteepee 13%, with Inter Turku to win its most likely call at 70%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 67%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 86% and landed. Over 3.5 was 45% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 57% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 54% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Inter Turku 63%, Kooteepee 44%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 46%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Inter Turku's trading profile (27 games, 14 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did not.

Kooteepee's trading profile (27 games, 14 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 41% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 48% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Inter Turku arrived the stronger side — 1.52 PPG against 0.74. Form held, and they took the win. Inter Turku (home/away splits) scored 5 against a 2.14 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.14 average — tighter than their form line. Kooteepee (home/away splits) shipped 5 against a 1.64 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights