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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 24 Aug 2025

13:00

Venue

Bolt Arena

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Finland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

HJK Helsinki Win

59%

HJK Helsinki

1.68

21%

Draw

4.73

19%

Mariehamn

5.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.6%

Draw

2 – 0

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.23

HJK Helsinki xG

Total xG

3.47

1.23

Mariehamn xG

59%
21%
19%
HJK HelsinkiDrawMariehamn

1.68

59%

Home win

4.73

21%

Draw

5.13

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.77

Clean Sheet

29%

HJK Helsinki

3.43

11%

Mariehamn

9.35

Win to Nil

17%

HJK Helsinki

5.78

2%

Mariehamn

47.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 3.8 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 7.0 8.6 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
2 7.8 9.6 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 5.8 7.2 4.4 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 3.2 4.0 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.4 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.235
λ Away (xG) 1.233
Total xG 3.468
League avg home goals 1.572
League avg away goals 1.571
HJK Helsinki attack strength 1.416
HJK Helsinki defence strength 1.049
Mariehamn attack strength 0.748
Mariehamn defence strength 1.004
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42