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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Championship Round - 4

Kick-off

Fri 3 Oct 2025

17:00

Venue

Bolt Arena

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Finland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

HJK Helsinki Win

62%

HJK Helsinki

1.60

17%

Draw

5.90

21%

Gnistan

4.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

3 – 1

6.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

6.6%

Home win

3 – 2

6.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

3.04

HJK Helsinki xG

Total xG

4.85

1.80

Gnistan xG

62%
17%
21%
HJK HelsinkiDrawGnistan

1.60

62%

Home win

5.90

17%

Draw

4.87

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

95%

Over 1.5

1.05

5%

Under 1.5

20.00

86%

Over 2.5

1.16

14%

Under 2.5

7.14

71%

Over 3.5

1.41

29%

Under 3.5

3.45

53%

Over 4.5

1.89

47%

Under 4.5

2.13

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

80%

BTTS Yes

1.25

20%

BTTS No

4.98

Clean Sheet

16%

HJK Helsinki

6.06

5%

Gnistan

20.97

Win to Nil

10%

HJK Helsinki

9.70

1%

Gnistan

102.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.8 1.4 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
1 2.4 4.3 3.9 2.3 1.1 0.4
2 3.6 6.6 5.9 3.6 1.6 0.6
3 3.7 6.7 6.0 3.6 1.6 0.6
4 2.8 5.1 4.6 2.7 1.2 0.4
5 1.7 3.1 2.8 1.7 0.8 0.3

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 3.043
λ Away (xG) 1.802
Total xG 4.845
League avg home goals 1.673
League avg away goals 1.653
HJK Helsinki attack strength 1.603
HJK Helsinki defence strength 1.057
Gnistan attack strength 1.032
Gnistan defence strength 1.135
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44