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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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KuPS cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Haka.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

KuPS beat Haka 1-3 at Tehtaan kenttä, Regular Season - 7, in the Veikkausliiga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Haka 1.17 xG and KuPS 1.55 xG, a combined 2.72. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. KuPS outscored their 1.55 projection by 1.5. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Haka attack 0.87 / defence 0.93 against KuPS attack 1.03 / defence 0.87, drawn from 28/29 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Haka 29% | Draw 25% | KuPS 46%, with KuPS to win its most likely call at 46%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 51%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 76% and landed. Over 3.5 was 29% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 54% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Haka 61%, KuPS 46%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 55%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Haka's trading profile (54 games, 26 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did.

KuPS's trading profile (54 games, 26 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 39% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, KuPS arrived the stronger side — 2.02 PPG against 1.35. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Haka (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.42 concession average — a leakier day than usual. KuPS (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.46 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights