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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Mon 28 Jul 2025

17:00

Venue

Mustapekka Areena

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Finland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

HJK Helsinki Win

27%

Gnistan

3.65

26%

Draw

3.86

47%

HJK Helsinki

2.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Gnistan xG

Total xG

2.88

1.66

HJK Helsinki xG

27%
26%
47%
GnistanDrawHJK Helsinki

3.65

27%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

2.14

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

19%

Gnistan

5.24

29%

HJK Helsinki

3.40

Win to Nil

5%

Gnistan

19.14

14%

HJK Helsinki

7.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 9.3 7.7 4.3 1.8 0.6
1 6.9 11.4 9.4 5.2 2.2 0.7
2 4.2 7.0 5.8 3.2 1.3 0.4
3 1.7 2.8 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.2
4 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.224
λ Away (xG) 1.657
Total xG 2.881
League avg home goals 1.569
League avg away goals 1.462
Gnistan attack strength 1.012
Gnistan defence strength 0.924
HJK Helsinki attack strength 1.227
HJK Helsinki defence strength 0.771
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38