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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

17:30

Venue

Molineux Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Wolves Win

36%

Wolves

2.75

28%

Draw

3.55

36%

Manchester City

2.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Wolves xG

Total xG

2.54

1.26

Manchester City xG

36%
28%
36%
WolvesDrawManchester City

2.75

36%

Home win

3.55

28%

Draw

2.81

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

28%

Wolves

3.53

28%

Manchester City

3.59

Win to Nil

10%

Wolves

9.72

10%

Manchester City

10.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 10.0 6.3 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 10.1 12.7 8.0 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.4 8.1 5.1 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.7 3.5 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.277
λ Away (xG) 1.261
Total xG 2.538
League avg home goals 1.534
League avg away goals 1.265
Wolves attack strength 0.989
Wolves defence strength 0.999
Manchester City attack strength 0.998
Manchester City defence strength 0.842
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38