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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 27 Feb 2026

20:00

Venue

Molineux Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Aston Villa Win

20%

Wolves

5.00

28%

Draw

3.51

52%

Aston Villa

1.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.8%

Away win

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

Wolves xG

Total xG

2.78

1.74

Aston Villa xG

20%
28%
52%
WolvesDrawAston Villa

5.00

20%

Home win

3.51

28%

Draw

1.94

52%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

18%

Wolves

5.71

36%

Aston Villa

2.82

Win to Nil

4%

Wolves

28.54

18%

Aston Villa

5.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 10.8 9.4 5.5 2.4 0.8
1 6.4 11.2 9.8 5.7 2.5 0.9
2 3.3 5.8 5.1 2.9 1.3 0.4
3 1.1 2.0 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.2
4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.035
λ Away (xG) 1.742
Total xG 2.777
League avg home goals 1.407
League avg away goals 1.282
Wolves attack strength 0.785
Wolves defence strength 1.259
Aston Villa attack strength 1.079
Aston Villa defence strength 0.937
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 65