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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Tottenham run riot with a 0-3 hammering of West Ham.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Tottenham beat West Ham 0-3 at London Stadium, Regular Season - 4, in the Premier League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting West Ham 1.22 xG and Tottenham 1.79 xG, a combined 3.02. The scoreboard read 0-3 for 3 actual goals. West Ham fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Tottenham outscored their 1.79 projection by 1.2. Those figures were built on strength ratings of West Ham attack 0.93 / defence 1.43 against Tottenham attack 1.08 / defence 0.95, drawn from 41/41 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it West Ham 26% | Draw 23% | Tottenham 51%, with Tottenham to win its most likely call at 51%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 58%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 80% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 59% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 57% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (West Ham 54%, Tottenham 61%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

West Ham's trading profile (41 games, 20 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did not.

Tottenham's trading profile (41 games, 20 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — West Ham 1.12 PPG, Tottenham 1.07 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Tottenham win broke the near-deadlock. West Ham (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.20 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 1.95 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Tottenham (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.55 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.50 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights