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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

London Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

West Ham Win

53%

West Ham

1.87

23%

Draw

4.31

23%

Southampton

4.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

West Ham xG

Total xG

2.90

1.11

Southampton xG

53%
23%
23%
West HamDrawSouthampton

1.87

53%

Home win

4.31

23%

Draw

4.27

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

33%

West Ham

3.03

17%

Southampton

6.01

Win to Nil

18%

West Ham

5.68

4%

Southampton

25.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 6.1 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 9.8 10.9 6.1 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.8 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 5.3 5.9 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.4 2.6 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.794
λ Away (xG) 1.109
Total xG 2.903
League avg home goals 1.476
League avg away goals 1.429
West Ham attack strength 0.878
West Ham defence strength 1.094
Southampton attack strength 0.710
Southampton defence strength 1.385
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 32