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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Liverpool run riot with a 0-5 hammering of West Ham.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Liverpool beat West Ham 0-5 at London Stadium, Regular Season - 19, in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting West Ham 1.64 xG and Liverpool 2.56 xG, a combined 4.20. The scoreboard read 0-5 for 5 actual goals. West Ham fell 1.6 short of their projected output. Liverpool outscored their 2.56 projection by 2.4. Those figures were built on strength ratings of West Ham attack 0.99 / defence 1.14 against Liverpool attack 1.54 / defence 1.11, drawn from 56/55 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it West Ham 23% | Draw 21% | Liverpool 57%, with Liverpool to win its most likely call at 57%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 79%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 93% and landed. Over 3.5 was 60% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 76% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 66% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (West Ham 66%, Liverpool 66%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 65%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

West Ham's trading profile (55 games, 27 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did not.

Liverpool's trading profile (55 games, 27 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 31% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Liverpool arrived the stronger side — 2.25 PPG against 1.35. The form guide was vindicated by the result. West Ham (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.52 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 5 against a 1.63 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Liverpool (home/away splits) scored 5 against a 2.19 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.30 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights