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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Crystal Palace cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over West Ham.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Crystal Palace beat West Ham 0-2 at London Stadium, Regular Season - 22, in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting West Ham 1.21 xG and Crystal Palace 1.88 xG, a combined 3.09. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. West Ham fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of West Ham attack 1.02 / defence 1.27 against Crystal Palace attack 0.97 / defence 0.81, drawn from 59/59 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it West Ham 23% | Draw 26% | Crystal Palace 51%, with Crystal Palace to win its most likely call at 51%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 60%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 83% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 61% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 58% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (West Ham 66%, Crystal Palace 51%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 64%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

West Ham's trading profile (59 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 68% of their matches — today it did not.

Crystal Palace's trading profile (59 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — West Ham 1.32 PPG, Crystal Palace 1.24 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Crystal Palace win broke the near-deadlock. West Ham (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.52 scoring average — below par going forward. Crystal Palace (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.14 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.48 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights