Tottenham vs Manchester City – Predictions
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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Manchester City Win
35%
2.88
20%
4.92
45%
2.22
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 2
7.6%
Away win
Most likely
2 – 2
7.3%
Draw
1 – 1
7.0%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.91
Tottenham xG
Total xG
4.08
2.17
Manchester City xG
TottenhamDrawManchester City
2.88
35%
Home win
4.92
20%
Draw
2.22
45%
Away win
Goals Markets
91%
Over 1.5
1.10
9%
Under 1.5
11.11
77%
Over 2.5
1.30
23%
Under 2.5
4.35
58%
Over 3.5
1.72
42%
Under 3.5
2.38
39%
Over 4.5
2.56
61%
Under 4.5
1.64
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
75%
BTTS Yes
1.33
25%
BTTS No
4.07
Clean Sheet
11%
8.79
15%
6.73
Win to Nil
4%
25.32
7%
14.96
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| 1 | 3.2 | 7.0 | 7.6 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 1.3 |
| 2 | 3.1 | 6.7 | 7.3 | 5.3 | 2.9 | 1.2 |
| 3 | 2.0 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.906
λ Away (xG)
2.174
Total xG
4.080
League avg home goals
1.503
League avg away goals
1.551
Tottenham attack strength
1.123
Tottenham defence strength
1.190
Manchester City attack strength
1.178
Manchester City defence strength
1.129
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
64 / 64