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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Tottenham Win

49%

Tottenham

2.05

22%

Draw

4.52

29%

Bournemouth

3.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 2

6.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.96

Tottenham xG

Total xG

3.45

1.49

Bournemouth xG

49%
22%
29%
TottenhamDrawBournemouth

2.05

49%

Home win

4.52

22%

Draw

3.43

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.50

33%

BTTS No

2.99

Clean Sheet

23%

Tottenham

4.41

14%

Bournemouth

7.11

Win to Nil

11%

Tottenham

9.06

4%

Bournemouth

24.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 4.7 3.5 1.7 0.6 0.2
1 6.2 9.3 6.9 3.4 1.3 0.4
2 6.1 9.1 6.8 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 4.0 6.0 4.4 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 2.0 2.9 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.962
λ Away (xG) 1.485
Total xG 3.447
League avg home goals 1.489
League avg away goals 1.195
Tottenham attack strength 1.098
Tottenham defence strength 1.066
Bournemouth attack strength 1.165
Bournemouth defence strength 1.200
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40