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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sun 19 Oct 2025

14:00

Venue

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Tottenham Win

35%

Tottenham

2.83

32%

Draw

3.11

32%

Aston Villa

3.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.9%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.5%

Draw

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

Tottenham xG

Total xG

2.00

0.97

Aston Villa xG

35%
32%
32%
TottenhamDrawAston Villa

2.83

35%

Home win

3.11

32%

Draw

3.08

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.46

59%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

38%

Tottenham

2.65

36%

Aston Villa

2.80

Win to Nil

13%

Tottenham

7.49

12%

Aston Villa

8.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.5 13.2 6.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 13.9 13.5 6.6 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 7.1 7.0 3.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 2.4 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.028
λ Away (xG) 0.973
Total xG 2.001
League avg home goals 1.465
League avg away goals 1.161
Tottenham attack strength 0.886
Tottenham defence strength 0.999
Aston Villa attack strength 0.839
Aston Villa defence strength 0.792
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45