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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Sunderland cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Wolves.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Sunderland beat Wolves 2-0 at Stadium of Light, Regular Season - 8, in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Sunderland 1.35 xG and Wolves 1.00 xG, a combined 2.35. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Wolves landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Sunderland attack 1.02 / defence 1.01 against Wolves attack 0.84 / defence 0.92, drawn from 7/45 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Sunderland 44% | Draw 29% | Wolves 27%, with Sunderland to win its most likely call at 44%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 42%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 69% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 51% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Sunderland 40%, Wolves 62%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Sunderland's trading profile (45 games, 22 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 47% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 31% of the time, and duly kept one.

Wolves's trading profile (45 games, 22 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Sunderland arrived the stronger side — 1.53 PPG against 0.98. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Sunderland (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 0.86 average — tighter than their form line. Wolves (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.27 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights