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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sat 9 May 2026

15:00

Venue

Stadium of Light

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester United Win

22%

Sunderland

4.53

27%

Draw

3.65

51%

Manchester United

1.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

11.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

0 – 2

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.00

Sunderland xG

Total xG

2.62

1.62

Manchester United xG

22%
27%
51%
SunderlandDrawManchester United

4.53

22%

Home win

3.65

27%

Draw

1.98

51%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

20%

Sunderland

5.05

37%

Manchester United

2.72

Win to Nil

4%

Sunderland

22.91

19%

Manchester United

5.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 11.8 9.6 5.2 2.1 0.7
1 7.3 11.8 9.6 5.2 2.1 0.7
2 3.6 5.9 4.8 2.6 1.0 0.3
3 1.2 2.0 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.000
λ Away (xG) 1.620
Total xG 2.620
League avg home goals 1.452
League avg away goals 1.252
Sunderland attack strength 0.736
Sunderland defence strength 1.177
Manchester United attack strength 1.099
Manchester United defence strength 0.936
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 35 / 73