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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Thu 1 Jan 2026

20:00

Venue

Stadium of Light

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

30%

Sunderland

3.31

25%

Draw

4.01

45%

Manchester City

2.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

0 – 1

8.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Sunderland xG

Total xG

3.00

1.66

Manchester City xG

30%
25%
45%
SunderlandDrawManchester City

3.31

30%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

2.23

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

19%

Sunderland

5.28

26%

Manchester City

3.79

Win to Nil

6%

Sunderland

17.46

12%

Manchester City

8.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 8.3 6.9 3.8 1.6 0.5
1 6.7 11.1 9.2 5.1 2.1 0.7
2 4.4 7.4 6.1 3.4 1.4 0.5
3 2.0 3.3 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.332
λ Away (xG) 1.664
Total xG 2.996
League avg home goals 1.499
League avg away goals 1.269
Sunderland attack strength 0.980
Sunderland defence strength 0.957
Manchester City attack strength 1.370
Manchester City defence strength 0.906
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 18 / 56