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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Stadium of Light

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sunderland Win

48%

Sunderland

2.10

25%

Draw

4.03

28%

Brentford

3.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

Sunderland xG

Total xG

2.82

1.19

Brentford xG

48%
25%
28%
SunderlandDrawBrentford

2.10

48%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

3.63

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

31%

Sunderland

3.27

20%

Brentford

5.12

Win to Nil

15%

Sunderland

6.87

5%

Brentford

18.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 7.1 4.2 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 9.8 11.6 6.8 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 8.0 9.4 5.6 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 4.3 5.1 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.8 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.633
λ Away (xG) 1.185
Total xG 2.818
League avg home goals 1.489
League avg away goals 1.195
Sunderland attack strength 1.073
Sunderland defence strength 0.967
Brentford attack strength 1.026
Brentford defence strength 1.021
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 2 / 40