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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

St. Mary's Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Wolves Win

13%

Southampton

7.69

17%

Draw

6.00

70%

Wolves

1.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

9.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

0 – 3

7.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.00

Southampton xG

Total xG

3.52

2.52

Wolves xG

13%
17%
70%
SouthamptonDrawWolves

7.69

13%

Home win

6.00

17%

Draw

1.42

70%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.40

Clean Sheet

8%

Southampton

12.44

37%

Wolves

2.73

Win to Nil

1%

Southampton

95.70

26%

Wolves

3.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9 7.4 9.4 7.9 5.0 2.5
1 3.0 7.5 9.4 7.9 5.0 2.5
2 1.5 3.7 4.7 4.0 2.5 1.3
3 0.5 1.2 1.6 1.3 0.8 0.4
4 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.003
λ Away (xG) 2.521
Total xG 3.524
League avg home goals 1.447
League avg away goals 1.476
Southampton attack strength 0.588
Southampton defence strength 1.727
Wolves attack strength 0.989
Wolves defence strength 1.179
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 66