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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

St. Mary's Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

West Ham Win

19%

Southampton

5.14

25%

Draw

4.07

56%

West Ham

1.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

0 – 2

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Southampton xG

Total xG

3.27

2.08

West Ham xG

19%
25%
56%
SouthamptonDrawWest Ham

5.14

19%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

1.79

56%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.69

Clean Sheet

12%

Southampton

8.01

30%

West Ham

3.30

Win to Nil

2%

Southampton

41.15

17%

West Ham

5.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 7.9 8.2 5.7 3.0 1.2
1 4.5 9.4 9.8 6.8 3.5 1.5
2 2.7 5.6 5.8 4.0 2.1 0.9
3 1.1 2.2 2.3 1.6 0.8 0.3
4 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.193
λ Away (xG) 2.081
Total xG 3.274
League avg home goals 1.540
League avg away goals 1.518
Southampton attack strength 0.706
Southampton defence strength 1.605
West Ham attack strength 0.854
West Ham defence strength 1.098
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 55