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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Newcastle Win
6%
17.73
14%
7.40
81%
1.24
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 2
10.3%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 3
10.3%
Away win
1 – 2
8.0%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.77
Southampton xG
Total xG
3.77
3.00
Newcastle xG
SouthamptonDrawNewcastle
17.73
6%
Home win
7.40
14%
Draw
1.24
81%
Away win
Goals Markets
89%
Over 1.5
1.12
11%
Under 1.5
9.09
73%
Over 2.5
1.37
27%
Under 2.5
3.70
52%
Over 3.5
1.92
48%
Under 3.5
2.08
33%
Over 4.5
3.03
67%
Under 4.5
1.49
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.92
48%
BTTS No
2.09
Clean Sheet
5%
20.05
46%
2.17
Win to Nil
0%
–
37%
2.68
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.3 | 6.9 | 10.3 | 10.3 | 7.8 | 4.6 |
| 1 | 1.8 | 5.3 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 3.6 |
| 2 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| 3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 4 | – | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.773
λ Away (xG)
2.998
Total xG
3.771
League avg home goals
1.453
League avg away goals
1.577
Southampton attack strength
0.592
Southampton defence strength
1.701
Newcastle attack strength
1.118
Newcastle defence strength
0.898
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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