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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

15:00

Venue

St. Mary's Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

10%

Southampton

9.84

17%

Draw

5.72

72%

Manchester City

1.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

12.8%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 1

11.3%

Away win

0 – 3

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.73

Southampton xG

Total xG

3.01

2.28

Manchester City xG

17%
72%
SouthamptonDrawManchester City

9.84

10%

Home win

5.72

17%

Draw

1.38

72%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.15

53%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

10%

Southampton

9.79

48%

Manchester City

2.07

Win to Nil

1%

Southampton

96.32

35%

Manchester City

2.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 11.3 12.8 9.8 5.6 2.5
1 3.6 8.2 9.3 7.1 4.1 1.8
2 1.3 3.0 3.4 2.6 1.5 0.7
3 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2
4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.728
λ Away (xG) 2.281
Total xG 3.009
League avg home goals 1.487
League avg away goals 1.395
Southampton attack strength 0.593
Southampton defence strength 1.611
Manchester City attack strength 1.015
Manchester City defence strength 0.825
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 35 / 73