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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Brighton Win
16%
6.13
18%
5.43
65%
1.53
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 2
9.2%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 3
7.7%
Away win
0 – 2
7.4%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.23
Southampton xG
Total xG
3.77
2.54
Brighton xG
SouthamptonDrawBrighton
6.13
16%
Home win
5.43
18%
Draw
1.53
65%
Away win
Goals Markets
89%
Over 1.5
1.12
11%
Under 1.5
9.09
73%
Over 2.5
1.37
27%
Under 2.5
3.70
52%
Over 3.5
1.92
48%
Under 3.5
2.08
33%
Over 4.5
3.03
67%
Under 4.5
1.49
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
66%
BTTS Yes
1.52
34%
BTTS No
2.91
Clean Sheet
8%
12.64
29%
3.42
Win to Nil
1%
77.56
19%
5.24
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.3 | 5.9 | 7.4 | 6.3 | 4.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 | 2.8 | 7.2 | 9.2 | 7.7 | 4.9 | 2.5 |
| 2 | 1.7 | 4.4 | 5.6 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| 3 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.230
λ Away (xG)
2.537
Total xG
3.767
League avg home goals
1.508
League avg away goals
1.526
Southampton attack strength
0.630
Southampton defence strength
1.648
Brighton attack strength
1.009
Brighton defence strength
1.294
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
25 / 63