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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Arsenal Win
8%
12.61
16%
6.44
77%
1.31
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 2
14.0%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 1
11.7%
Away win
0 – 3
11.1%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.63
Southampton xG
Total xG
3.02
2.39
Arsenal xG
SouthamptonDrawArsenal
12.61
8%
Home win
6.44
16%
Draw
1.31
77%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
58%
Over 2.5
1.72
42%
Under 2.5
2.38
36%
Over 3.5
2.78
64%
Under 3.5
1.56
19%
Over 4.5
5.26
81%
Under 4.5
1.23
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
42%
BTTS Yes
2.36
58%
BTTS No
1.73
Clean Sheet
9%
10.88
53%
1.87
Win to Nil
1%
137.21
41%
2.45
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.9 | 11.7 | 14.0 | 11.1 | 6.6 | 3.2 |
| 1 | 3.1 | 7.4 | 8.8 | 7.0 | 4.2 | 2.0 |
| 2 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.628
λ Away (xG)
2.387
Total xG
3.015
League avg home goals
1.466
League avg away goals
1.374
Southampton attack strength
0.570
Southampton defence strength
1.450
Arsenal attack strength
1.197
Arsenal defence strength
0.752
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
37 / 75