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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 19 Jan 2025

14:00

Venue

The City Ground

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nottingham Forest Win

59%

Nottingham Forest

1.69

29%

Draw

3.42

11%

Southampton

8.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

14.5%

Home win

0 – 0

12.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Nottingham Forest xG

Total xG

2.10

0.56

Southampton xG

59%
29%
Nottingham ForestDrawSouthampton

1.69

59%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

8.74

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.79

64%

BTTS No

1.56

Clean Sheet

57%

Nottingham Forest

1.76

21%

Southampton

4.66

Win to Nil

34%

Nottingham Forest

2.96

2%

Southampton

40.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.2 6.9 1.9 0.4 0.1
1 18.8 10.6 3.0 0.6 0.1
2 14.5 8.2 2.3 0.4 0.1
3 7.4 4.2 1.2 0.2
4 2.9 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 0.9 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.540
λ Away (xG) 0.563
Total xG 2.103
League avg home goals 1.433
League avg away goals 1.526
Nottingham Forest attack strength 0.927
Nottingham Forest defence strength 0.675
Southampton attack strength 0.547
Southampton defence strength 1.159
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 21