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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sun 10 May 2026

14:00

Venue

City Ground

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nottingham Forest Win

39%

Nottingham Forest

2.59

33%

Draw

3.08

29%

Newcastle

3.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

11.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Nottingham Forest xG

Total xG

2.12

0.97

Newcastle xG

39%
33%
29%
Nottingham ForestDrawNewcastle

2.59

39%

Home win

3.08

33%

Draw

3.45

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.27

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

38%

Nottingham Forest

2.63

31%

Newcastle

3.18

Win to Nil

15%

Nottingham Forest

6.83

9%

Newcastle

10.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.9 11.6 5.6 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 13.8 13.4 6.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.0 7.7 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 3.1 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.157
λ Away (xG) 0.968
Total xG 2.125
League avg home goals 1.451
League avg away goals 1.225
Nottingham Forest attack strength 0.829
Nottingham Forest defence strength 0.911
Newcastle attack strength 0.867
Newcastle defence strength 0.961
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73